USA: From the Space Weather Prediction Center Updated 2009 Oct 12 2201 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 285 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Oct 2009  IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No significant flare activity occurred. The visible disk was spotless.  IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very low.  IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream that commenced yesterday began to gradually subside early in the period. Velocities gradually decreased from 435 to 350 km/sec during the period.  IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (13 - 14 October). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (15 October) as an equatorward extension of the northern crown coronal hole begins to influence the field.  III.  Event Probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct Class M    01/01/01 Class X    01/01/01 Proton     01/01/01 PCAF       green  IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed           12 Oct 070 Predicted   13 Oct-15 Oct  070/070/070 90 Day Mean        12 Oct 069  V.  Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 11 Oct  007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Oct  002/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/007  VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct A.  Middle Latitudes Active                05/05/10 Minor storm           01/01/01 Major-severe storm    01/01/01 B.  High Latitudes Active                10/10/15 Minor storm           01/01/01 Major-severe storm    01/01/01 

Space Weather Prediction Center. 

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/